Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 9.049663 10.332319 11.739796 13.400127 15.306938 17.430343 19.977169
2025-11-30 7.553520 9.289479 11.345584 13.965593 17.223098 21.150006 26.258435
2025-12-07 6.547518 8.487522 10.913385 14.179750 18.479148 23.967540 31.541483
2025-12-14 5.743312 7.771467 10.422440 14.157100 19.309326 26.205503 36.201023
2025-12-21 5.088994 7.145375 9.937974 14.029388 19.909009 28.110797 40.521054
2025-12-28 4.757330 6.907794 9.931510 14.522910 21.372428 31.296833 46.921065
2026-01-04 4.437548 6.642801 9.843104 14.863758 22.614063 34.241243 53.226283
2026-01-11 4.200843 6.469087 9.859047 15.341635 24.080088 37.624743 60.513311
2026-01-18 3.795479 5.995415 9.371397 14.983343 24.190315 38.889565 64.516629
2026-01-25 3.469002 5.612503 8.984903 14.738208 24.439037 40.367634 68.975143
2026-02-01 3.185701 5.271895 8.632310 14.507667 24.674871 41.820649 73.498322
2026-02-08 2.935667 4.963225 8.302928 14.279971 24.882122 43.222517 78.037683
2026-02-15 2.695611 4.654434 7.952709 13.993284 24.973601 44.453888 82.442105
2026-02-22 2.627069 4.635307 8.094140 14.581004 26.674188 48.696372 92.857162
2026-03-01 2.505525 4.511136 8.039295 14.805112 27.721074 51.826530 101.454521
2026-03-08 2.357915 4.327025 7.860784 14.781416 28.292970 54.104528 108.592210
2026-03-15 2.208344 4.126824 7.635903 14.647824 28.635212 55.959851 115.046996
2026-03-22 2.157186 4.107120 7.744223 15.164083 30.297270 60.551181 127.624276
2026-03-29 2.088573 4.047967 7.771744 15.520653 31.664974 64.664983 139.604640
2026-04-05 2.040868 4.025522 7.867512 16.020601 33.368424 69.617214 153.921291
2026-04-12 1.898482 3.803350 7.551703 15.645759 33.193654 70.586508 159.423490
2026-04-19 1.780128 3.621119 7.302491 15.389311 33.248332 72.048053 166.190337
2026-04-26 1.672460 3.453003 7.069654 15.148137 33.313327 73.532237 173.153025